Steelers @ Browns
Steelers
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Steelers 24-19 at home. The market closed with Steelers at -230 on the moneyline and the total at 36.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 67% | 62% | -3.5 (-118) |
| Browns | 33% | 38% | +3.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 64% | O 36.5 (-112) |
| Under | 22% | 36% | U 36.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 90% | 0% | -230 |
| Browns | 10% | 10% | +190 |
67% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
78% of total tickets and 64% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Steelers held 90% of moneyline tickets but only 0% of the money; 10% of moneyline money was on the Browns with 10% of tickets, so the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -2.5 | +3.5 | +6 |
| Total | 43.5 | 36.5 | -7 |
The Browns opened -2.5 and closed +3.5, a 6-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 36.5, a 7-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 6 points toward the Steelers (Browns -2.5 to Browns +3.5), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 67% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 7 points toward the under (43.5 to 36.5) even though 64% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 36% of the money and 22% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.