Chiefs @ Panthers
Chiefs
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Panthers 30-27 on the road. The market closed with Chiefs at -750 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chiefs betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Chiefs vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Chiefs vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chiefs | 77% | 71% | -10.5 (-115) |
| Panthers | 23% | 29% | +10.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 76% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 17% | 24% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chiefs | 100% | 94% | -750 |
| Panthers | 0% | 6% | +525 |
77% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
100% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chiefs vs Panthers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +7.5 | +10.5 | +3 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43 | -2.5 |
The Chiefs opened -7.5 and closed -10.5, a 3-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 43, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chiefs vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Chiefs (Panthers +7.5 to Panthers +10.5), the side holding 71% of the spread money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 43) even though 76% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 24% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.