Cowboys @ Commanders
Cowboys
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Commanders 34-26 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at +452 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 28% | 28% | +10.5 (-110) |
| Commanders | 72% | 72% | -10.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 68% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 22% | 32% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 0% | 11% | +452 |
| Commanders | 100% | 89% | -625 |
72% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Commanders, with money and tickets in step.
78% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
100% of moneyline tickets and 89% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, so the Commanders drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Commanders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | +3.5 | -10.5 | -14 |
| Total | 46 | 44.5 | -1.5 |
The Cowboys opened -3.5 and closed +10.5, a 14-point move toward the Commanders.
The total opened 46 and closed 44.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 14 points toward the Commanders (Commanders +3.5 to Commanders -10.5), the side holding 72% of the spread money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (46 to 44.5) even though 68% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 32% of the money and 22% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.