Titans @ Texans
Titans
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Titans beat the Texans 32-27 on the road. The market closed with Titans at +332 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 27% | 40% | +8 (-110) |
| Texans | 73% | 60% | -8 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 64% | O 41 (-110) |
| Under | 23% | 36% | U 41 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 5% | 2% | +332 |
| Texans | 95% | 98% | -440 |
73% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 64% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
95% of moneyline tickets and 98% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -6 | -8 | -2 |
| Total | 46.5 | 41 | -5.5 |
The Texans opened -6 and closed -8, a 2-point move toward the Texans.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 41, a 5.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Texans (Texans -6 to Texans -8), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5.5 points toward the under (46.5 to 41) even though 64% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 36% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.