Buccaneers @ Giants
Buccaneers
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Giants 30-7 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at -272 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 82% | 85% | -6 (-110) |
| Giants | 18% | 15% | +6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 52% | O 40.5 (-102) |
| Under | 16% | 48% | U 40.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 91% | 94% | -272 |
| Giants | 9% | 6% | +222 |
82% of spread tickets and 85% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
84% of total tickets and 52% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
91% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Giants?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | +1 | +6 | +5 |
| Total | 44 | 40.5 | -3.5 |
The Buccaneers opened -1 and closed -6, a 5-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 44 and closed 40.5, a 3.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Buccaneers (Giants +1 to Giants +6), the side holding 85% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3.5 points toward the under (44 to 40.5) even though 52% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 48% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.