Broncos @ Raiders
Broncos
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Raiders 29-19 on the road. The market closed with Broncos at -278 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 71% | 71% | -6 (-112) |
| Raiders | 29% | 29% | +6 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 65% | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Under | 21% | 35% | U 41.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 87% | 91% | -278 |
| Raiders | 13% | 9% | +225 |
71% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Broncos, with money and tickets in step.
79% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
87% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the average Broncos bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | -3 | +6 | +9 |
| Total | 42 | 41.5 | -0.5 |
The Raiders opened -3 and closed +6, a 9-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 42 and closed 41.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 9 points toward the Broncos (Raiders -3 to Raiders +6), the side holding 71% of the spread money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (42 to 41.5) even though 65% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 35% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.