49ers @ Packers
49ers
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the 49ers 38-10 at home. The market closed with 49ers at +240 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 54% | 46% | +6.5 (-112) |
| Packers | 46% | 54% | -6.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 58% | O 44.5 (-112) |
| Under | 23% | 42% | U 44.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 29% | 36% | +240 |
| Packers | 71% | 64% | -296 |
The 49ers held 54% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Packers with 46% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 58% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
71% of moneyline tickets and 64% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average 49ers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Packers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | +2.5 | -6.5 | -9 |
| Total | 47 | 44.5 | -2.5 |
The 49ers opened -2.5 and closed +6.5, a 9-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 47 and closed 44.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 9 points toward the Packers (Packers +2.5 to Packers -6.5), the side holding 54% of the spread money and 46% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (47 to 44.5) even though 58% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 42% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.