Browns @ Broncos
Browns
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Browns 41-32 at home. The market closed with Browns at +235 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 31% | 34% | +6.5 (-110) |
| Broncos | 69% | 66% | -6.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 71% | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Under | 23% | 29% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 9% | 38% | +235 |
| Broncos | 91% | 62% | -290 |
69% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
91% of moneyline tickets and 62% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Broncos?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | +3.5 | -6.5 | -10 |
| Total | 43 | 41.5 | -1.5 |
The Browns opened -3.5 and closed +6.5, a 10-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 43 and closed 41.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Broncos line move?
The spread moved 10 points toward the Broncos (Broncos +3.5 to Broncos -6.5), the side holding 66% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (43 to 41.5) even though 71% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 29% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.