Packers @ Lions
Packers
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Packers 34-31 at home. The market closed with Packers at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 53. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 48% | 60% | +3 (+100) |
| Lions | 52% | 40% | -3 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 63% | 69% | O 53 (-110) |
| Under | 37% | 31% | U 53 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 14% | 22% | +145 |
| Lions | 86% | 78% | -170 |
The Lions held 52% of spread tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of spread money was on the Packers with 48% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
63% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
86% of moneyline tickets and 78% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 48 | 53 | +5 |
The Lions opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 48 and closed 53, a 5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Lions -3) even with 60% of the spread money on the Packers. The total moved 5 points toward the over (48 to 53), the side holding 69% of the total money and 63% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.