Browns @ Steelers
Browns
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Browns 27-14 at home. The market closed with Browns at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 36% | 37% | +6 (-112) |
| Steelers | 64% | 63% | -6 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 84% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 15% | 16% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 6% | 3% | +215 |
| Steelers | 94% | 97% | -265 |
64% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +1 | -6 | -7 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Browns opened -1 and closed +6, a 7-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 7 points toward the Steelers (Steelers +1 to Steelers -6), the side holding 63% of the spread money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5) even though 84% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 16% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.