Raiders @ Buccaneers
Raiders
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Raiders 28-13 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +267 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 31% | 23% | +7 (-115) |
| Buccaneers | 69% | 77% | -7 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 86% | O 47 (-108) |
| Under | 19% | 14% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 12% | 6% | +267 |
| Buccaneers | 88% | 94% | -335 |
69% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
81% of total tickets and 86% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
88% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | -3 | -7 | -4 |
| Total | 44 | 47 | +3 |
The Buccaneers opened -3 and closed -7, a 4-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 44 and closed 47, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Buccaneers (Buccaneers -3 to Buccaneers -7), the side holding 77% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the over (44 to 47), the side holding 86% of the total money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.