Jaguars @ Titans
Jaguars
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jaguars beat the Titans 10-6 on the road. The market closed with Jaguars at +142 on the moneyline and the total at 40. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 40% | 49% | +3 (-105) |
| Titans | 60% | 51% | -3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 75% | O 40 (-112) |
| Under | 17% | 25% | U 40 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 19% | 25% | +142 |
| Titans | 81% | 75% | -170 |
60% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Titans, so the Titans drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
81% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Titans, so the Titans drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Titans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +1.5 | -3 | -4.5 |
| Total | 45 | 40 | -5 |
The Jaguars opened -1.5 and closed +3, a 4.5-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 45 and closed 40, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Titans (Titans +1.5 to Titans -3), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 60% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5 points toward the under (45 to 40) even though 75% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 25% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.