Saints @ Giants
Saints
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Giants 14-11 on the road. The market closed with Saints at -225 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 68% | 77% | -4.5 (-112) |
| Giants | 32% | 23% | +4.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 69% | O 40.5 (-108) |
| Under | 18% | 31% | U 40.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 89% | 90% | -225 |
| Giants | 11% | 10% | +200 |
68% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
82% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Giants?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | -1 | +4.5 | +5.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40.5 | -0.5 |
The Giants opened -1 and closed +4.5, a 5.5-point move toward the Saints.
The total opened 41 and closed 40.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Saints (Giants -1 to Giants +4.5), the side holding 77% of the spread money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (41 to 40.5) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.