Falcons @ Vikings
Falcons
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Falcons 42-21 at home. The market closed with Falcons at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 58% | 55% | +6 (-115) |
| Vikings | 42% | 45% | -6 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 84% | O 46.5 (-112) |
| Under | 21% | 16% | U 46.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 17% | 16% | +215 |
| Vikings | 83% | 84% | -264 |
58% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
83% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +1 | -6 | -7 |
| Total | 45 | 46.5 | +1.5 |
The Falcons opened -1 and closed +6, a 7-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 45 and closed 46.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 7 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +1 to Vikings -6) even though 55% of the spread money sits on the Falcons; the Vikings hold 45% of the money and 42% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (45 to 46.5), the side holding 84% of the total money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.