Bills @ Rams
Bills
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Bills 44-42 at home. The market closed with Bills at -192 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bills betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Bills vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Bills vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bills | 72% | 64% | -3.5 (-118) |
| Rams | 28% | 36% | +3.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 81% | O 49.5 (-115) |
| Under | 24% | 19% | U 49.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Bills | 82% | 93% | -192 |
| Rams | 18% | 7% | +160 |
72% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Bills, so the Bills drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
76% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
82% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Rams bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bills vs Rams?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | +1 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 48 | 49.5 | +1.5 |
The Bills opened -1 and closed -3.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Bills.
The total opened 48 and closed 49.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bills vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Bills (Rams +1 to Rams +3.5), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (48 to 49.5), the side holding 81% of the total money and 76% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.