Chargers @ Chiefs
Chargers
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Chargers 19-17 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +195 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 56% | 51% | +4.5 (-110) |
| Chiefs | 44% | 49% | -4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 78% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 17% | 22% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 16% | 19% | +195 |
| Chiefs | 84% | 81% | -240 |
56% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Chiefs bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 78% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 81% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Chargers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -6.5 | -4.5 | +2 |
| Total | 44.5 | 43 | -1.5 |
The Chiefs opened -6.5 and closed -4.5, a 2-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 43, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Chargers (Chiefs -6.5 to Chiefs -4.5), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 56% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (44.5 to 43) even though 78% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 22% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.