Cowboys @ Panthers
Cowboys
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Panthers 30-14 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at +120 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 72% | 76% | +2.5 (+100) |
| Panthers | 28% | 24% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 71% | O 42 (-108) |
| Under | 20% | 29% | U 42 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 35% | 49% | +120 |
| Panthers | 65% | 51% | -142 |
72% of spread tickets and 76% of spread money were on the Cowboys, so the average Cowboys bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
80% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
65% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Panthers, so the Panthers drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Panthers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +6.5 | -2.5 | -9 |
| Total | 44 | 42 | -2 |
The Cowboys opened -6.5 and closed +2.5, a 9-point move toward the Panthers.
The total opened 44 and closed 42, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 9 points toward the Panthers (Panthers +6.5 to Panthers -2.5) even though 76% of the spread money sits on the Cowboys; the Panthers hold 24% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (44 to 42) even though 71% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 29% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.