Buccaneers @ Chargers
Buccaneers
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Chargers 40-17 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at +140 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2024 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 68% | 67% | +3 (-105) |
| Chargers | 32% | 33% | -3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 84% | O 46 (-112) |
| Under | 26% | 16% | U 46 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 28% | 40% | +140 |
| Chargers | 72% | 60% | -166 |
68% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Chargers bet was larger.
74% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
72% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Chargers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 46 | +3.5 |
The Chargers opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 46, a 3.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Chargers line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Chargers -3) even with 67% of the spread money on the Buccaneers. The total moved 3.5 points toward the over (42.5 to 46), the side holding 84% of the total money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.