Patriots @ Cardinals
Patriots
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the Patriots 30-17 at home. The market closed with Patriots at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Patriots betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
Patriots vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on Patriots vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots | 33% | 20% | +6 (-110) |
| Cardinals | 67% | 80% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 67% | 59% | O 46.5 (-110) |
| Under | 33% | 41% | U 46.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Patriots | 16% | 4% | +215 |
| Cardinals | 84% | 96% | -264 |
67% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Cardinals, so the average Cardinals bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
67% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Cardinals, so the average Cardinals bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Patriots vs Cardinals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | -3.5 | -6 | -2.5 |
| Total | 44 | 46.5 | +2.5 |
The Cardinals opened -3.5 and closed -6, a 2.5-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 44 and closed 46.5, a 2.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Patriots vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Cardinals (Cardinals -3.5 to Cardinals -6), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 67% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the over (44 to 46.5), the side holding 59% of the total money and 67% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.