Falcons @ Raiders
Falcons
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Raiders 15-9 on the road. The market closed with Falcons at -312 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 85% | 79% | -6.5 (-110) |
| Raiders | 15% | 21% | +6.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 73% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 19% | 27% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 90% | 97% | -312 |
| Raiders | 10% | 3% | +260 |
85% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
81% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +1 | +6.5 | +5.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 44.5 | -1 |
The Falcons opened -1 and closed -6.5, a 5.5-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Falcons (Raiders +1 to Raiders +6.5), the side holding 79% of the spread money and 85% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (45.5 to 44.5) even though 73% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 27% of the money and 19% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.