Browns @ Bengals
Browns
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Browns 24-6 at home. The market closed with Browns at +400 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 19% | 11% | +10 (-108) |
| Bengals | 81% | 89% | -10 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 66% | O 46 (-110) |
| Under | 38% | 34% | U 46 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 5% | 2% | +400 |
| Bengals | 95% | 98% | -535 |
81% of spread tickets and 89% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
62% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 98% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Bengals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -3.5 | -10 | -6.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 46 | +0.5 |
The Bengals opened -3.5 and closed -10, a 6.5-point move toward the Bengals.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 46, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 6.5 points toward the Bengals (Bengals -3.5 to Bengals -10), the side holding 89% of the spread money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (45.5 to 46), the side holding 66% of the total money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.