Steelers @ Ravens
Steelers
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Steelers 34-17 at home. The market closed with Steelers at +275 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 59% | 53% | +7 (-115) |
| Ravens | 41% | 47% | -7 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 59% | O 44 (-110) |
| Under | 31% | 41% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 16% | 49% | +275 |
| Ravens | 84% | 51% | -345 |
59% of spread tickets and 53% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Ravens bet was larger.
69% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -5.5 | -7 | -1.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 44 | +1.5 |
The Ravens opened -5.5 and closed -7, a 1.5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 44, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Ravens (Ravens -5.5 to Ravens -7) even though 53% of the spread money sits on the Steelers; the Ravens hold 47% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (42.5 to 44), the side holding 59% of the total money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.