Eagles @ Commanders
Eagles
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Eagles 36-33 at home. The market closed with Eagles at -218 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 74% | 82% | -4 (-115) |
| Commanders | 26% | 18% | +4 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 77% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 27% | 23% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 85% | 82% | -218 |
| Commanders | 15% | 18% | +180 |
74% of spread tickets and 82% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Commanders bet.
73% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
85% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the Eagles drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Commanders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | +3.5 | +4 | +0.5 |
| Total | 45 | 47 | +2 |
The Eagles opened -3.5 and closed -4, a 0.5-point move toward the Eagles.
The total opened 45 and closed 47, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Eagles (Commanders +3.5 to Commanders +4), the side holding 82% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (45 to 47), the side holding 77% of the total money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.