Titans @ Colts
Titans
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Titans 38-30 at home. The market closed with Titans at +169 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 33% | 39% | +4 (-108) |
| Colts | 67% | 61% | -4 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 54% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 32% | 46% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 11% | 4% | +169 |
| Colts | 89% | 96% | -202 |
67% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Colts, so the Colts drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Colts?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -4 | -4 | 0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43 | -2.5 |
The Colts opened -4 and closed -4: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 43, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Colts line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Colts -4) even with 61% of the spread money on the Colts. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 43) even though 54% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 46% of the money and 32% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.