Lions @ Bears
Lions
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Bears 34-17 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -342 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 85% | 82% | -7 (-110) |
| Bears | 15% | 18% | +7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 72% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 32% | 28% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 95% | 99% | -342 |
| Bears | 5% | 1% | +275 |
85% of spread tickets and 82% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 99% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Bears bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Bears?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | +1 | +7 | +6 |
| Total | 47 | 47.5 | +0.5 |
The Lions opened -1 and closed -7, a 6-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 47 and closed 47.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Bears line move?
The spread moved 6 points toward the Lions (Bears +1 to Bears +7), the side holding 82% of the spread money and 85% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (47 to 47.5), the side holding 72% of the total money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.