Giants @ Falcons
Giants
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Giants 34-7 at home. The market closed with Giants at +392 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 39% | 37% | +9.5 (-110) |
| Falcons | 61% | 63% | -9.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 54% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 34% | 46% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 3% | 9% | +392 |
| Falcons | 97% | 91% | -517 |
61% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
66% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
97% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | -4.5 | -9.5 | -5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 43 | -1.5 |
The Falcons opened -4.5 and closed -9.5, a 5-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 43, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Falcons line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Falcons (Falcons -4.5 to Falcons -9.5), the side holding 63% of the spread money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (44.5 to 43) even though 54% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 46% of the money and 34% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.