Vikings @ Seahawks
Vikings
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Seahawks 27-24 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -148 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 67% | 59% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Seahawks | 33% | 41% | +2.5 (+100) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 80% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 20% | U 43 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 79% | 88% | -148 |
| Seahawks | 21% | 12% | +124 |
67% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Seahawks bet was larger.
76% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
79% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Seahawks bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Seahawks?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -3 | +2.5 | +5.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43 | -2.5 |
The Seahawks opened -3 and closed +2.5, a 5.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 43, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Vikings (Seahawks -3 to Seahawks +2.5), the side holding 59% of the spread money and 67% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 43) even though 80% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 20% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.