Buccaneers @ Cowboys
Buccaneers
CowboysArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Buccaneers 26-24 at home. The market closed with Buccaneers at -278 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Cowboys betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Cowboys betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 77% | 72% | -4.5 (-110) |
| Cowboys | 23% | 28% | +4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 68% | O 49 (-110) |
| Under | 35% | 32% | U 49 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 87% | 90% | -278 |
| Cowboys | 13% | 10% | +209 |
77% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
65% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
87% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Cowboys bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cowboys) | -4.5 | +4.5 | +9 |
| Total | 46.5 | 49 | +2.5 |
The Cowboys opened -4.5 and closed +4.5, a 9-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 49, a 2.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Cowboys line move?
The spread moved 9 points toward the Buccaneers (Cowboys -4.5 to Cowboys +4.5), the side holding 72% of the spread money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the over (46.5 to 49), the side holding 68% of the total money and 65% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.