Saints @ Packers
Saints
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Saints 34-0 at home. The market closed with Saints at +683 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 43% | 46% | +14.5 (-115) |
| Packers | 57% | 54% | -14.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 79% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 20% | 21% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 6% | 10% | +683 |
| Packers | 94% | 90% | -1062 |
57% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
80% of total tickets and 79% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Packers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | -5 | -14.5 | -9.5 |
| Total | 45 | 43.5 | -1.5 |
The Packers opened -5 and closed -14.5, a 9.5-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 45 and closed 43.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 9.5 points toward the Packers (Packers -5 to Packers -14.5), the side holding 54% of the spread money and 57% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (45 to 43.5) even though 79% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 21% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.