Seahawks @ Bears
Seahawks
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Bears 6-3 on the road. The market closed with Seahawks at -225 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 72% | 70% | -4.5 (-110) |
| Bears | 28% | 30% | +4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 81% | O 42.5 (-115) |
| Under | 25% | 19% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 86% | 94% | -225 |
| Bears | 14% | 6% | +185 |
72% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
86% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the average Seahawks bet was larger than the average Bears bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs Bears?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | -3.5 | +4.5 | +8 |
| Total | 45.5 | 42.5 | -3 |
The Bears opened -3.5 and closed +4.5, a 8-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 42.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs Bears line move?
The spread moved 8 points toward the Seahawks (Bears -3.5 to Bears +4.5), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (45.5 to 42.5) even though 81% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 19% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.