Broncos @ Bengals
Broncos
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Broncos 30-24 at home. The market closed with Broncos at +140 on the moneyline and the total at 50.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 56% | 62% | +3 (-110) |
| Bengals | 44% | 38% | -3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 75% | O 50.5 (-108) |
| Under | 36% | 25% | U 50.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 18% | 22% | +140 |
| Bengals | 82% | 79% | -165 |
56% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the average Broncos bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
64% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
82% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Broncos bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Bengals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -8 | -3 | +5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 50.5 | +5 |
The Bengals opened -8 and closed -3, a 5-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 50.5, a 5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Broncos (Bengals -8 to Bengals -3), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 56% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5 points toward the over (45.5 to 50.5), the side holding 75% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.