Jets @ Bills
Jets
BillsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bills beat the Jets 40-14 at home. The market closed with Jets at +400 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Bills betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Bills betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Bills?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 32% | 38% | +10 (-105) |
| Bills | 68% | 62% | -10 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 70% | 58% | O 44 (-110) |
| Under | 30% | 42% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 3% | 4% | +400 |
| Bills | 97% | 96% | -535 |
68% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Bills, so the Bills drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
70% of total tickets and 58% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
97% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Bills, so the Bills drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Bills?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bills) | -6 | -10 | -4 |
| Total | 47.5 | 44 | -3.5 |
The Bills opened -6 and closed -10, a 4-point move toward the Bills.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 44, a 3.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Bills line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Bills (Bills -6 to Bills -10), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3.5 points toward the under (47.5 to 44) even though 58% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 42% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.