Chargers @ Patriots
Chargers
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Patriots 40-7 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -312 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 78% | 80% | -6 (-118) |
| Patriots | 22% | 20% | +6 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 67% | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Under | 26% | 33% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 75% | 98% | -312 |
| Patriots | 25% | 2% | +250 |
78% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
74% of total tickets and 67% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
75% of moneyline tickets and 98% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | +4 | +6 | +2 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 | 0 |
The Chargers opened -4 and closed -6, a 2-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 41.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Chargers (Patriots +4 to Patriots +6), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (41.5) even with 67% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.