Raiders @ Saints
Raiders
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Raiders beat the Saints 25-10 on the road. The market closed with Raiders at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 51% | 52% | -2 (-110) |
| Saints | 49% | 48% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 48% | O 37.5 (-114) |
| Under | 24% | 52% | U 37.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 50% | 47% | -125 |
| Saints | 50% | 53% | +105 |
51% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
The over held 76% of total tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of total money was on the under with 24% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Raiders held 50% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Saints with 50% of tickets, so the average Saints bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | -3 | +2 | +5 |
| Total | 43 | 37.5 | -5.5 |
The Saints opened -3 and closed +2, a 5-point move toward the Raiders.
The total opened 43 and closed 37.5, a 5.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Raiders (Saints -3 to Saints +2), the side holding 52% of the spread money and 51% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5.5 points toward the under (43 to 37.5), the side holding 52% of the total money and 24% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.