Panthers @ Buccaneers
Panthers
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Panthers 48-14 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +390 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 46% | 38% | +9.5 (-105) |
| Buccaneers | 54% | 62% | -9.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 66% | O 47.5 (-115) |
| Under | 32% | 34% | U 47.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 5% | 9% | +390 |
| Buccaneers | 95% | 91% | -510 |
54% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
68% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
95% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | -9 | -9.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 48 | 47.5 | -0.5 |
The Buccaneers opened -9 and closed -9.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 48 and closed 47.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Buccaneers (Buccaneers -9 to Buccaneers -9.5), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (48 to 47.5) even though 66% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 34% of the money and 32% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.