Packers @ Vikings
Packers
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Packers 27-25 at home. The market closed with Packers at -115 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 56% | 54% | +1 (-115) |
| Vikings | 44% | 46% | -1 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 80% | O 49.5 (-110) |
| Under | 20% | 20% | U 49.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 37% | 47% | -115 |
| Vikings | 63% | 53% | -107 |
56% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
80% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
63% of moneyline tickets and 53% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +2 | -1 | -3 |
| Total | 45.5 | 49.5 | +4 |
The Packers opened -2 and closed +1, a 3-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 49.5, a 4-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +2 to Vikings -1) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Vikings hold 46% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 4 points toward the over (45.5 to 49.5), the side holding 80% of the total money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.