Titans @ Jaguars
Titans
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jaguars beat the Titans 20-13 at home. The market closed with Titans at -115 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 53% | 62% | -1 (-108) |
| Jaguars | 47% | 38% | +1 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 53% | O 38.5 (-110) |
| Under | 27% | 47% | U 38.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 33% | 34% | -115 |
| Jaguars | 67% | 66% | -105 |
53% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Titans, so the average Titans bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
73% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
67% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Jaguars?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -2.5 | +1 | +3.5 |
| Total | 43 | 38.5 | -4.5 |
The Jaguars opened -2.5 and closed +1, a 3.5-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 43 and closed 38.5, a 4.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Titans (Jaguars -2.5 to Jaguars +1), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4.5 points toward the under (43 to 38.5) even though 53% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 47% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.