Dolphins @ Browns
Dolphins
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Browns 20-3 on the road. The market closed with Dolphins at -174 on the moneyline and the total at 32.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 69% | 73% | -3 (-115) |
| Browns | 31% | 27% | +3 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 44% | O 32.5 (-112) |
| Under | 17% | 56% | U 32.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 85% | 95% | -174 |
| Browns | 15% | 5% | +150 |
69% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
The over held 83% of total tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of total money was on the under with 17% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
85% of moneyline tickets and 95% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -2 | +3 | +5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 32.5 | -12 |
The Browns opened -2 and closed +3, a 5-point move toward the Dolphins.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 32.5, a 12-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Dolphins (Browns -2 to Browns +3), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 12 points toward the under (44.5 to 32.5), the side holding 56% of the total money and 17% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.