Lions @ 49ers
Lions
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the 49ers 40-34 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -222 on the moneyline and the total at 50.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 82% | 73% | -4 (-112) |
| 49ers | 18% | 27% | +4 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 62% | O 50.5 (-110) |
| Under | 38% | 38% | U 50.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 88% | 95% | -222 |
| 49ers | 12% | 5% | +182 |
82% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average 49ers bet was larger.
62% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
88% of moneyline tickets and 95% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs 49ers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -4.5 | +4 | +8.5 |
| Total | 49.5 | 50.5 | +1 |
The 49ers opened -4.5 and closed +4, a 8.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 49.5 and closed 50.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 8.5 points toward the Lions (49ers -4.5 to 49ers +4), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (49.5 to 50.5), the side holding 62% of the total money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.