Chargers @ Raiders
Chargers
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Raiders 34-20 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -355 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 80% | 89% | -7 (-115) |
| Raiders | 20% | 11% | +7 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 52% | O 42.5 (-108) |
| Under | 54% | 48% | U 42.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 82% | 88% | -355 |
| Raiders | 18% | 12% | +285 |
80% of spread tickets and 89% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
The under held 54% of total tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of total money was on the over with 46% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
82% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +3.5 | +7 | +3.5 |
| Total | 41 | 42.5 | +1.5 |
The Chargers opened -3.5 and closed -7, a 3.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 41 and closed 42.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Chargers (Raiders +3.5 to Raiders +7), the side holding 89% of the spread money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (41 to 42.5), the side holding 52% of the total money and 46% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.