Dolphins @ Jets
Dolphins
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Dolphins 32-20 at home. The market closed with Dolphins at +120 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 69% | 51% | +2.5 (-112) |
| Jets | 31% | 49% | -2.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 50% | 47% | O 39.5 (-108) |
| Under | 50% | 53% | U 39.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 54% | 80% | +120 |
| Jets | 46% | 20% | -142 |
69% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
The over held 50% of total tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of total money was on the under with 50% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
54% of moneyline tickets and 80% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Jets?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +2.5 | -2.5 | -5 |
| Total | 42 | 39.5 | -2.5 |
The Dolphins opened -2.5 and closed +2.5, a 5-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 42 and closed 39.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Jets (Jets +2.5 to Jets -2.5) even though 51% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Jets hold 49% of the money and 31% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (42 to 39.5), the side holding 53% of the total money and 50% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.