Texans @ Titans
Texans
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Titans 23-14 on the road. The market closed with Texans at +124 on the moneyline and the total at 36.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 75% | 84% | +2.5 (-105) |
| Titans | 25% | 16% | -2.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 83% | O 36.5 (-118) |
| Under | 22% | 17% | U 36.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 48% | 84% | +124 |
| Titans | 52% | 16% | -148 |
75% of spread tickets and 84% of spread money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
78% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Titans held 52% of moneyline tickets but only 16% of the money; 84% of moneyline money was on the Texans with 48% of tickets, so the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Titans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +1 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 36.5 | 36.5 | 0 |
The Texans opened -1 and closed +2.5, a 3.5-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 36.5 and closed 36.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Titans (Titans +1 to Titans -2.5) even though 84% of the spread money sits on the Texans; the Titans hold 16% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (36.5) even with 83% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.