Vikings @ Lions
Vikings
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Vikings 31-9 at home. The market closed with Vikings at +132 on the moneyline and the total at 56.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 58% | 69% | +3 (-118) |
| Lions | 42% | 31% | -3 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 75% | O 56.5 (-118) |
| Under | 24% | 25% | U 56.5 (-102) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 25% | 45% | +132 |
| Lions | 75% | 55% | -156 |
58% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Lions bet.
76% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
75% of moneyline tickets and 55% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -4.5 | -3 | +1.5 |
| Total | 51 | 56.5 | +5.5 |
The Lions opened -4.5 and closed -3, a 1.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 51 and closed 56.5, a 5.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Vikings (Lions -4.5 to Lions -3), the side holding 69% of the spread money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5.5 points toward the over (51 to 56.5), the side holding 75% of the total money and 76% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.