49ers @ Cardinals
49ers
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the 49ers 47-24 at home. The market closed with 49ers at +195 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 59% | 46% | +5.5 (-118) |
| Cardinals | 41% | 54% | -5.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 87% | 86% | O 43.5 (-102) |
| Under | 13% | 14% | U 43.5 (-118) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 26% | 49% | +195 |
| Cardinals | 74% | 51% | -240 |
The 49ers held 59% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Cardinals with 41% of tickets, so the average Cardinals bet was larger.
87% of total tickets and 86% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
74% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Cardinals, so the Cardinals drew more tickets than money and the average 49ers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Cardinals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | +2.5 | -5.5 | -8 |
| Total | 46.5 | 43.5 | -3 |
The 49ers opened -2.5 and closed +5.5, a 8-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 43.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 8 points toward the Cardinals (Cardinals +2.5 to Cardinals -5.5), the side holding 54% of the spread money and 41% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (46.5 to 43.5) even though 86% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 14% of the money and 13% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.