Jaguars @ Colts
Jaguars
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Jaguars 26-23 at home. The market closed with Jaguars at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 43% | 36% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Colts | 57% | 64% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 77% | O 46.5 (-105) |
| Under | 23% | 23% | U 46.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 11% | 17% | +155 |
| Colts | 89% | 83% | -185 |
57% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
77% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
89% of moneyline tickets and 83% of moneyline money were on the Colts, so the Colts drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Colts?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -4 | -3.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 46.5 | +2 |
The Colts opened -4 and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Jaguars.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 46.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Colts line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jaguars (Colts -4 to Colts -3.5) even though 64% of the spread money sits on the Colts; the Jaguars hold 36% of the money and 43% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the over (44.5 to 46.5), the side holding 77% of the total money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.