Panthers @ Falcons
Panthers
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Falcons 44-38 on the road. The market closed with Panthers at +310 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 38% | 35% | +7.5 (-105) |
| Falcons | 62% | 65% | -7.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 76% | O 48.5 (-110) |
| Under | 34% | 24% | U 48.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 6% | 20% | +310 |
| Falcons | 94% | 80% | -390 |
62% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
66% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
94% of moneyline tickets and 80% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | -7.5 | -7.5 | 0 |
| Total | 47.5 | 48.5 | +1 |
The Falcons opened -7.5 and closed -7.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 48.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Falcons line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Falcons -7.5) even with 65% of the spread money on the Falcons. The total moved 1 point toward the over (47.5 to 48.5), the side holding 76% of the total money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.