Bears @ Packers
Bears
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Packers 24-22 on the road. The market closed with Bears at +350 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 22% | 28% | +10 (-105) |
| Packers | 78% | 72% | -10 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 82% | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Under | 22% | 18% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 7% | 18% | +350 |
| Packers | 93% | 82% | -455 |
78% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
78% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Packers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | -7 | -10 | -3 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 | 0 |
The Packers opened -7 and closed -10, a 3-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 41.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Packers (Packers -7 to Packers -10), the side holding 72% of the spread money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (41.5) even with 82% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.