Browns @ Ravens
Browns
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Browns 35-10 at home. The market closed with Browns at +1300 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 48% | 43% | +19.5 (-108) |
| Ravens | 52% | 57% | -19.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 81% | O 42 (-110) |
| Under | 18% | 19% | U 42 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 8% | 19% | +1300 |
| Ravens | 92% | 81% | -2402 |
52% of spread tickets and 57% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
82% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
92% of moneyline tickets and 81% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Ravens?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -14.5 | -19.5 | -5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42 | -0.5 |
The Ravens opened -14.5 and closed -19.5, a 5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 42, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Ravens (Ravens -14.5 to Ravens -19.5), the side holding 57% of the spread money and 52% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (42.5 to 42) even though 81% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 19% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.