Chargers @ Texans
Chargers
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Chargers 32-12 at home. The market closed with Chargers at -166 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 69% | 69% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Texans | 31% | 31% | +2.5 (+100) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 76% | O 41.5 (-118) |
| Under | 21% | 24% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 66% | 71% | -166 |
| Texans | 34% | 29% | +140 |
69% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Chargers, with money and tickets in step.
79% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
66% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Texans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | +2.5 | +2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41.5 | -3 |
The Chargers opened -2.5 and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 41.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Texans line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Texans +2.5) even with 69% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total moved 3 points toward the under (44.5 to 41.5) even though 76% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 24% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.