Steelers @ Ravens
Steelers
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Steelers 28-14 at home. The market closed with Steelers at +385 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 42% | 41% | +9.5 (-112) |
| Ravens | 58% | 59% | -9.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 68% | O 44.5 (-112) |
| Under | 28% | 32% | U 44.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 11% | 30% | +385 |
| Ravens | 89% | 70% | -510 |
58% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
72% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 70% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -8.5 | -9.5 | -1 |
| Total | 46.5 | 44.5 | -2 |
The Ravens opened -8.5 and closed -9.5, a 1-point move toward the Ravens.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 44.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Ravens (Ravens -8.5 to Ravens -9.5), the side holding 59% of the spread money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the under (46.5 to 44.5) even though 68% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 32% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.